AI-Driven Memory Cycle

Extra Bonus Coupon Autocall
SK Hynix · Samsung · Micron
9.00% Guaranteed · Up to 18% p.a.

A 12-month structured product combining a 9.00% guaranteed yield, an additional 9.00% conditional bonus in case of Autocall, and a 60% Basket Protection protection.

USD12-Month Maturity10 Monthly Obs.9% p.a. Guaranteed+9% Bonus (Autocall)Basket Protection 60%
HYNIXSAMSUNGMICRON
Underlyings
Hynix · Samsung · MU
Guaranteed Coupon
9.00% p.a.
0.75% per month
Autocall (from M3)
100%
Step-down 2.5% / month
Extra Bonus
+9.00% p.a.
Cumulative on Autocall
Maturity Buffer
60%
Basket Protection & Low Strike
Payoff & Underlyings

Autocall Extra Bonus Coupon

CurrencyUSD
Tenor12 months
UnderlyingSK Hynix - 000660 KP
Samsung - 005930 KP
Micron - MU US
FrequencyMonthly
Autocall Start PeriodFrom Months 3
Autocall Level100%, step-down 2.5% per month
Low Strike60%
Basket Protection60%
Coupon Garanti9.00%
Extra Bonus Coupon in case of Autocall9.00%

Strong Fundamentals Despite Correction

  • The sell-off in SK Hynix, Samsung and Micron appears more related to a re-rating of stretched valuations and profit-taking than to a deterioration in fundamentals.
  • SK Hynix: Q2 revenue KRW 79.3tn (+257% YoY) and operating profit KRW 60.5tn (+557%), supported by record HBM demand.
  • Samsung: Q2 revenue KRW 171.5tn, with record Memory revenue and operating profit.
  • Micron: Q3 revenue $41.5bn (+78% YoY) and net income $28.2bn, with Q4 revenue guided at ~$50bn.
Market Insight

Buy the memory cycle – not the memory winner

Rather than trying to identify the winner of the next memory cycle, the structure provides capital protection on the basket as a whole.

The three names remain well positioned to benefit from the structural growth in AI-related memory demand, while US restrictions on Chinese memory suppliers should further support the competitive positioning of Micron, Samsung and SK Hynix.

Why this structure now?

  • Monetizing Volatility: The recent correction has significantly increased implied volatility. We monetise this volatility through a Worst-of structure, translating it into a highly attractive 18% annualized return in case of Autocall, while still securing a 9% guaranteed yield.
  • Aggressive Step-Down: The autocall barrier drops by 2.5% every month, drastically increasing the probability of triggering the Extra Bonus Coupon even in a flat or slightly bearish market.
Interactive Simulator

Cashflow simulation month by month

Adjust the Worst-Of level for each month. The product is automatically called if the Worst-Of reaches the Autocall Level (step-down from Month 3), triggering the Extra Bonus Coupons.

M3
WoF105%
Barrier: 100%
M4
WoF102%
Barrier: 97.5%
M5
WoF95%
Barrier: 95%
M6
WoF90%
Barrier: 92.5%
M7
WoF85%
Barrier: 90%
M8
WoF90%
Barrier: 87.5%
M9
WoF95%
Barrier: 85%
M10
WoF98%
Barrier: 82.5%
M11
WoF100%
Barrier: 80%
M12
WoF105%
Barrier: 77.5%
Autocalled in
Month 3
Guaranteed Coupons
+2.25%
Extra Bonus
+2.25%
Total Redemption
104.50%
Redemption at Maturity (if not called)

Basket Protection with Low Strike

If the product reaches maturity (Month 12), two mechanisms protect the capital. If the Basket maintains a level above 60%, the capital is 100% protected even if one stock crashes (Basket Protection). Otherwise, the classic 60% Low Strike on the Worst-Of applies (pro-rata loss if WoF < 60%).

Redemption if Basket ≥ 60%
Redemption if Basket < 60%

Maturity Calculator

Worst-Of (M12)55%
Basket (M12)85%
Capital Redemption
100.00%
Protected by Basket Protection
Illustrative Scenarios

Four typical market situations

The scenarios below illustrate the different outcomes of this product. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ScenarioTimelineResultTotal
Early Autocall (Month 4)
Fast sector rebound
M1-M3Coupons paid, WoF below barrier.
M4WoF = 98%. Autocall triggered! (Barrier 97.5%)
100% Capital + 4 Guaranteed Coupons (3%) + 4 Extra Bonus (3%)106%
Late Autocall (Month 10)
Consolidation then recovery
M1-M9WoF fluctuates below autocall barrier.
M10WoF = 84%. Autocall triggered! (Barrier 82.5%)
100% Capital + 10 Guaranteed Coupons (7.5%) + 10 Extra Bonus (7.5%)115%
Maturity - Basket Protection Active
Divergence: One stock drops significantly
M3-M11No autocall. e.g. SK Hynix drops.
M12WoF = 55% (< 77.5%) BUT Basket = 85% (> 60%).
100% Capital protected by Basket Protection + 12 Guaranteed Coupons (9%)109%
Maturity - Low Strike Triggered
Broad memory sector downturn
M3-M11No autocall. All stocks drop.
M12WoF = 45%, Basket = 55%. Both below 60% barriers.
Capital reduced to 75% (45/60) + 12 Guaranteed Coupons (9%)84%
Please contact your Orizen representative for more information